Derby vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 27%, away 30%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersWatford won 3–2 away at Derby in the Championship on Saturday 22 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 43%, the draw 27% and Watford 30%, so an away win had a 30% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
DEWA
9Shots14
2On target4
9Corners3
8Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: G Ward
Recent form
Derby
W @ Blackburn2–1 · 8 Nov
W v Hull2–1 · 4 Nov
W @ Sheffield United3–1 · 1 Nov
W v QPR1–0 · 25 Oct
W v Norwich1–0 · 21 Oct
Watford
D v Bristol City1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Ipswich1–1 · 4 Nov
W v Middlesbrough3–0 · 1 Nov
L @ Coventry1–3 · 25 Oct
W v West Brom2–1 · 22 Oct
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Derby won 0, Watford won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Derby 0–2 Watford, a win for Watford.
Derby 0–2 Watford18 Jan 2025
Watford 2–1 Derby24 Aug 2024