Derby vs Wrexham result and stats
Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersWrexham won 2–1 away at Derby in the Championship on Sunday 4 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Derby 38%, the draw 27% and Wrexham 35%, so an away win had a 35% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
DEWR
13Shots11
5On target3
12Corners2
9Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: M Corlett
Recent form
Derby
W v Middlesbrough1–0 · 1 Jan
L @ Leicester1–2 · 29 Dec
D @ Birmingham1–1 · 26 Dec
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Dec
W @ Sheffield Wednesday3–0 · 15 Dec
Wrexham
W @ Blackburn2–0 · 1 Jan
W v Preston2–1 · 29 Dec
W v Sheffield United5–3 · 26 Dec
L @ Swansea1–2 · 19 Dec
D v Watford2–2 · 13 Dec
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Derby won 0, Wrexham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Sep 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Wrexham 1–1 Derby27 Sep 2025