Middlesbrough vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 51%, draw 25%, away 24%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough beat Derby 2–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 29 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Middlesbrough 51%, the draw 25% and Derby 24%, so a home win had a 51% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MIDE
21Shots6
4On target1
9Corners8
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: J Linington
Recent form
Middlesbrough
L v Coventry2–4 · 25 Nov
D @ Oxford1–1 · 22 Nov
W v Birmingham2–1 · 8 Nov
D @ Leicester1–1 · 4 Nov
L @ Watford0–3 · 1 Nov
Derby
W @ Swansea2–1 · 25 Nov
L v Watford2–3 · 22 Nov
W @ Blackburn2–1 · 8 Nov
W v Hull2–1 · 4 Nov
W @ Sheffield United3–1 · 1 Nov
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 2, Derby won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2025, finished Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby, a win for Middlesbrough.
Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby1 Mar 2025
Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough17 Aug 2024
Middlesbrough 4–1 Derby12 Feb 2022
Derby 0–0 Middlesbrough21 Aug 2021