Millwall vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMillwall beat Derby 1–0 at home in the Championship on Tuesday 10 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Millwall 43%, the draw 28% and Derby 29%, so a home win had a 43% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MIDE
15Shots14
4On target1
6Corners2
7Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: M Donohue
Recent form
Millwall
W @ Hull3–1 · 7 Mar
W @ Preston2–0 · 28 Feb
W v Birmingham3–0 · 25 Feb
L v Portsmouth1–3 · 21 Feb
W @ Sheffield Wednesday2–1 · 14 Feb
Derby
W v Sheffield Wednesday2–1 · 7 Mar
W v Blackburn3–1 · 28 Feb
L @ Hull2–4 · 24 Feb
L @ Watford0–2 · 21 Feb
W v Swansea2–0 · 14 Feb
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2021, Millwall won 2, Derby won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Dec 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Derby 1–1 Millwall10 Dec 2025
Derby 0–1 Millwall22 Feb 2025
Millwall 1–1 Derby19 Oct 2024
Derby 1–2 Millwall23 Feb 2022
Millwall 1–1 Derby6 Nov 2021