Southampton vs Birmingham result and stats
Win probability: home 54%, draw 22%, away 24%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSouthampton beat Birmingham 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 6 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Southampton 54%, the draw 22% and Birmingham 24%, so a home win had a 54% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SOBI
18Shots22
8On target4
7Corners8
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: D Webb
Recent form
Southampton
L @ Millwall2–3 · 29 Nov
W v Leicester3–0 · 25 Nov
W @ Charlton5–1 · 22 Nov
W v Sheffield Wednesday3–1 · 8 Nov
W @ QPR2–1 · 5 Nov
Birmingham
W v Watford2–1 · 1 Dec
D @ West Brom1–1 · 26 Nov
W v Norwich4–1 · 22 Nov
L @ Middlesbrough1–2 · 8 Nov
W v Millwall4–0 · 4 Nov
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2023, Southampton won 2, Birmingham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Mar 2024, finished Birmingham 3–4 Southampton, a win for Southampton.
Birmingham 3–4 Southampton2 Mar 2024
Southampton 3–1 Birmingham28 Oct 2023