GossipBall
ChampionshipSaturday 11 April 2026 ·

Southampton vs Derby result and stats

54%
test home win
2–1
full time
23%
draw
23%
test away win
Win probability: home 54%, draw 23%, away 23%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Southampton beat Derby 2–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 11 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Southampton 54%, the draw 23% and Derby 23%, so a home win had a 54% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

SODE
15
Shots
9
5
On target
4
6
Corners
2
8
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
1

Referee: A Kitchen

Recent form

Southampton
W @ Wrexham5–1 · 7 Apr
W v Oxford2–0 · 21 Mar
W v Norwich1–0 · 18 Mar
W @ Coventry2–1 · 14 Mar
D @ West Brom1–1 · 11 Mar
Derby
W v Stoke2–0 · 6 Apr
L @ Coventry2–3 · 3 Apr
W v Birmingham1–0 · 21 Mar
W @ Portsmouth1–0 · 16 Mar
L @ Millwall0–1 · 10 Mar

Head to head

In 1 league meeting since 2025, Southampton won 0, Derby won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Oct 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Derby 1–1 Southampton4 Oct 2025

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]