Southampton vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 23%, away 33%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSouthampton and Middlesbrough drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Southampton 45%, the draw 23% and Middlesbrough 33%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SOMI
14Shots7
2On target1
6Corners3
11Fouls17
2Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: F Hallam
Recent form
Southampton
L @ Hull1–3 · 20 Sep
D v Portsmouth0–0 · 14 Sep
D @ Watford2–2 · 30 Aug
L v Stoke1–2 · 23 Aug
D @ Ipswich1–1 · 17 Aug
Middlesbrough
W v West Brom2–1 · 19 Sep
D @ Preston2–2 · 13 Sep
W v Sheffield United1–0 · 30 Aug
W @ Norwich2–1 · 23 Aug
W @ Millwall3–0 · 16 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2023, Southampton won 0, Middlesbrough won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2024, was a 1–1 draw.
Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough29 Mar 2024
Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton23 Sep 2023