GossipBall
ChampionshipSaturday 9 August 2025 ·

Stoke vs Derby result and stats

41%
test home win
3–1
full time
30%
draw
30%
test away win
Win probability: home 41%, draw 30%, away 30%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Stoke beat Derby 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 9 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Stoke 41%, the draw 30% and Derby 30%, so a home win had a 41% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

STDE
12
Shots
3
7
On target
2
7
Corners
3
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Referee: E Bell

Recent form

Stoke
D @ Derby0–0 · 3 May
L v Sheffield United0–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Leeds0–6 · 21 Apr
W v Sheffield Wednesday2–0 · 18 Apr
W @ Cardiff1–0 · 12 Apr
Derby
D v Stoke0–0 · 3 May
W @ Hull1–0 · 26 Apr
W @ West Brom3–1 · 21 Apr
L v Luton0–1 · 18 Apr
D @ Portsmouth2–2 · 12 Apr

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 1, Derby won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Derby 0–0 Stoke3 May 2025
Stoke 2–1 Derby2 Nov 2024
Stoke 1–2 Derby30 Dec 2021
Derby 2–1 Stoke18 Sep 2021

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]