Stoke vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 39%, draw 30%, away 31%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersStoke beat Watford 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 14 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Stoke 39%, the draw 30% and Watford 31%, so a home win had a 39% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
STWA
19Shots15
12On target4
6Corners7
11Fouls13
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: L Doughty
Recent form
Stoke
D v Ipswich3–3 · 10 Mar
L @ Swansea0–2 · 7 Mar
L @ Coventry1–2 · 28 Feb
W v Oxford2–1 · 25 Feb
D v Leicester2–2 · 21 Feb
Watford
D @ Sheffield Wednesday1–1 · 10 Mar
W @ Bristol City2–1 · 27 Feb
L v Ipswich0–2 · 24 Feb
W v Derby2–0 · 21 Feb
D @ Preston2–2 · 14 Feb
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2022, Stoke won 1, Watford won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Dec 2025, finished Watford 1–0 Stoke, a win for Watford.
Watford 1–0 Stoke20 Dec 2025
Stoke 0–0 Watford1 Mar 2025
Watford 3–0 Stoke17 Aug 2024
Watford 1–1 Stoke29 Dec 2023
Stoke 1–0 Watford19 Aug 2023
Watford 2–0 Stoke8 May 2023