GossipBall
ChampionshipSaturday 14 March 2026 ·

Stoke vs Watford result and stats

39%
test home win
3–1
full time
30%
draw
31%
test away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 30%, away 31%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Stoke beat Watford 3–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 14 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Stoke 39%, the draw 30% and Watford 31%, so a home win had a 39% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

STWA
19
Shots
15
12
On target
4
6
Corners
7
11
Fouls
13
4
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Referee: L Doughty

Recent form

Stoke
D v Ipswich3–3 · 10 Mar
L @ Swansea0–2 · 7 Mar
L @ Coventry1–2 · 28 Feb
W v Oxford2–1 · 25 Feb
D v Leicester2–2 · 21 Feb
Watford
D @ Sheffield Wednesday1–1 · 10 Mar
W @ Bristol City2–1 · 27 Feb
L v Ipswich0–2 · 24 Feb
W v Derby2–0 · 21 Feb
D @ Preston2–2 · 14 Feb

Head to head

In 7 league meetings since 2022, Stoke won 1, Watford won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Dec 2025, finished Watford 1–0 Stoke, a win for Watford.

Watford 1–0 Stoke20 Dec 2025
Stoke 0–0 Watford1 Mar 2025
Watford 3–0 Stoke17 Aug 2024
Watford 1–1 Stoke29 Dec 2023
Stoke 1–0 Watford19 Aug 2023
Watford 2–0 Stoke8 May 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]