GossipBall
ChampionshipSaturday 17 January 2026 ·

Swansea vs Birmingham result and stats

45%
test home win
1–1
full time
26%
draw
29%
test away win
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 29%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Swansea and Birmingham drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 17 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Swansea 45%, the draw 26% and Birmingham 29%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

SWBI
19
Shots
12
4
On target
1
5
Corners
5
10
Fouls
14
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Referee: T Nield

Recent form

Swansea
L @ Millwall1–2 · 4 Jan
W v West Brom1–0 · 1 Jan
W @ Oxford1–0 · 29 Dec
L @ Coventry0–1 · 26 Dec
W v Wrexham2–1 · 19 Dec
Birmingham
W v Coventry3–2 · 4 Jan
L @ Watford0–3 · 1 Jan
D v Southampton1–1 · 29 Dec
D v Derby1–1 · 26 Dec
L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 20 Dec

Head to head

In 7 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 0, Birmingham won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Sep 2025, finished Birmingham 1–0 Swansea, a win for Birmingham.

Birmingham 1–0 Swansea20 Sep 2025
Birmingham 2–2 Swansea13 Jan 2024
Swansea 1–1 Birmingham5 Aug 2023
Swansea 3–4 Birmingham4 Feb 2023
Birmingham 2–2 Swansea8 Nov 2022
Swansea 0–0 Birmingham19 Mar 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]