Watford vs Birmingham result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersWatford beat Birmingham 3–0 at home in the Championship on Thursday 1 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Watford 47%, the draw 26% and Birmingham 27%, so a home win had a 47% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
WABI
13Shots6
6On target2
4Corners4
5Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: L Smith
Recent form
Watford
W @ Norwich1–0 · 29 Dec
W @ Leicester2–1 · 26 Dec
W v Stoke1–0 · 20 Dec
D @ Wrexham2–2 · 13 Dec
D v Sheffield Wednesday1–1 · 9 Dec
Birmingham
D v Southampton1–1 · 29 Dec
D v Derby1–1 · 26 Dec
L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 20 Dec
D v Charlton1–1 · 13 Dec
L @ QPR1–2 · 9 Dec
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 3, Birmingham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Dec 2025, finished Birmingham 2–1 Watford, a win for Birmingham.
Birmingham 2–1 Watford1 Dec 2025
Birmingham 0–1 Watford16 Mar 2024
Watford 2–0 Birmingham16 Sep 2023
Watford 3–0 Birmingham14 Mar 2023
Birmingham 1–1 Watford16 Aug 2022