Watford vs Derby result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersWatford beat Derby 2–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Watford 40%, the draw 28% and Derby 32%, so a home win had a 40% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
WADE
18Shots5
8On target1
2Corners2
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: D Webb
Recent form
Watford
D @ Preston2–2 · 14 Feb
L @ Southampton0–1 · 7 Feb
D @ Hull0–0 · 3 Feb
L v Swansea0–2 · 31 Jan
D @ Blackburn1–1 · 24 Jan
Derby
W v Swansea2–0 · 14 Feb
L v Ipswich1–2 · 7 Feb
W @ Bristol City5–0 · 30 Jan
D v West Brom1–1 · 23 Jan
W @ Charlton2–1 · 20 Jan
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Watford won 3, Derby won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Nov 2025, finished Derby 2–3 Watford, a win for Watford.
Derby 2–3 Watford22 Nov 2025
Derby 0–2 Watford18 Jan 2025
Watford 2–1 Derby24 Aug 2024