ChampionshipMatchday 18Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Blackburn vs Charlton prediction

44%
home win
predicted score
2–0
9.5% chance
31%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 31%, away 25%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Blackburn slight favourites to beat Charlton at home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Blackburn a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 31% and gives Charlton 25%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Blackburn and 0.8 from Charlton, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 33% chance of three or more goals and a 40% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Blackburn keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Charlton in 30%.

Blackburn are 13th in the table with 21 points from 15 games; Charlton are 19th with 17. In their last five league games Blackburn took 6 points (LWLLW) and Charlton took 3 (LLLLW). This season Blackburn average 1.04 expected goals (xG) for and 1.76 against per game; Charlton average 0.95 for and 1.48 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Blackburn won 0, Charlton won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
14
10
5
1
<1
1
15
14
5
1
<1
2
9
8
3
<1
<1
3
4
3
1
<1
4
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
Rows: Blackburn goalsColumns: Charlton goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (15%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–015.4%
0–013.6%
1–113.5%
0–110.5%
2–09.5%
2–17.8%
1 or more goals
86%
2 or more goals
61%
3 or more goals
33%
4 or more goals
15%
5 or more goals
6%
Both teams score
40%

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals in total: 1.20 for Blackburn and 0.83 for Charlton.

Winning margin

Explained
Blackburn by 3
5%
Blackburn by 2
13%
Blackburn by 1
25%
Draw
31%
Charlton by 3
2%
Charlton by 2
6%
Charlton by 1
17%

Each team's goals

Explained
Blackburn expected goals1.20
Charlton expected goals0.83
Blackburn keep a clean sheet44%
Charlton keep a clean sheet30%
Blackburn win without conceding30%
Charlton win without conceding17%
Blackburn score 2 or more34%
Charlton score 2 or more20%

Recent form

Blackburn
W v West Ham2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Stoke1–2 · 3 Nov
L @ Swansea0–4 · 31 Oct
W v Wrexham2–0 · 24 Oct
L @ West Brom2–3 · 17 Oct
Charlton
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Bolton0–1 · 3 Nov
L @ Middlesbrough0–3 · 31 Oct
L v Norwich1–3 · 24 Oct
L @ Watford0–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Blackburn won 0, Charlton won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Blackburn 2–2 Charlton4 Jan 2026
Charlton 3–0 Blackburn27 Sep 2025

Season averages per game

BLACHA
1.47
Goals
0.87
1.53
Conceded
1.53
1.04
xG
0.95
1.76
xG against
1.48
10.9
Shots
10.0
3.7
On target
2.7
5.8
Corners
4.1
2.40
Yellow cards
2.07
20%
Clean sheets
20%
73%
Both score
53%
80%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win Blackburn vs Charlton?

GossipBall gives Blackburn a 44% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Charlton 25%. GossipBall makes Blackburn slight favourites to beat Charlton at home.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Charlton?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Blackburn, 0.8 for Charlton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).

Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Charlton?

GossipBall gives a 40% chance that both Blackburn and Charlton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Blackburn vs Charlton?

There is a 33% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.0 goals in total (1.2 for Blackburn, 0.8 for Charlton).

When is Blackburn vs Charlton?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Charlton?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Blackburn won 0, Charlton won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC