ChampionshipMatchday 20Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

Blackburn vs Norwich prediction

33%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.6% chance
27%
draw
40%
away win
Win probability: home 33%, draw 27%, away 40%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Norwich slight favourites to beat Blackburn away from home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Blackburn a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Norwich 40%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Blackburn and 1.4 from Norwich, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Blackburn keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Norwich in 30%.

Blackburn are 13th in the table with 21 points from 15 games; Norwich are 12th with 21. In their last five league games Blackburn took 6 points (LWLLW) and Norwich took 12 (LWWWW). This season Blackburn average 1.04 expected goals (xG) for and 1.76 against per game; Norwich average 1.58 for and 1.41 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Blackburn won 2, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Norwich 2–0 Blackburn, a win for Norwich.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
10
7
3
1
<1
1
9
13
9
4
1
<1
2
6
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
2
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Blackburn goalsColumns: Norwich goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.0%
0–19.9%
1–08.8%
1–28.6%
0–08.0%
2–17.7%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.22 for Blackburn and 1.36 for Norwich.

Winning margin

Explained
Blackburn by 3
3%
Blackburn by 2
9%
Blackburn by 1
19%
Draw
27%
Norwich by 3
5%
Norwich by 2
12%
Norwich by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Blackburn expected goals1.22
Norwich expected goals1.36
Blackburn keep a clean sheet26%
Norwich keep a clean sheet30%
Blackburn win without conceding18%
Norwich win without conceding22%
Blackburn score 2 or more34%
Norwich score 2 or more39%

Recent form

Blackburn
W v West Ham2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Stoke1–2 · 3 Nov
L @ Swansea0–4 · 31 Oct
W v Wrexham2–0 · 24 Oct
L @ West Brom2–3 · 17 Oct
Norwich
W @ Bristol City5–0 · 7 Nov
W @ Derby4–0 · 3 Nov
W v Watford3–2 · 31 Oct
W @ Charlton3–1 · 24 Oct
L v Portsmouth0–1 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Blackburn won 2, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Norwich 2–0 Blackburn, a win for Norwich.

Norwich 2–0 Blackburn7 Feb 2026
Blackburn 0–2 Norwich30 Aug 2025
Blackburn 1–1 Norwich1 Mar 2025
Norwich 2–2 Blackburn17 Aug 2024
Blackburn 1–1 Norwich24 Feb 2024
Norwich 1–3 Blackburn5 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

BLANOR
1.47
Goals
2.13
1.53
Conceded
1.60
1.04
xG
1.58
1.76
xG against
1.41
10.9
Shots
14.7
3.7
On target
5.3
5.8
Corners
4.7
2.40
Yellow cards
1.87
20%
Clean sheets
13%
73%
Both score
60%
80%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Blackburn vs Norwich?

GossipBall gives Blackburn a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Norwich 40%. GossipBall makes Norwich slight favourites to beat Blackburn away from home.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Norwich?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Blackburn, 1.4 for Norwich). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Norwich?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Blackburn and Norwich score.

Will there be three or more goals in Blackburn vs Norwich?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.2 for Blackburn, 1.4 for Norwich).

When is Blackburn vs Norwich?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Norwich?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Blackburn won 2, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Norwich 2–0 Blackburn, a win for Norwich.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC