Derby vs Swansea result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 27%, away 28%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSwansea won 3–0 away at Derby in the Championship on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Derby 45%, the draw 27% and Swansea 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Derby 0.70, Swansea 3.00, so Swansea created the better chances. Derby had 8 shots (0 on target) to Swansea's 23 (12 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
DESW
0.70Expected goals3.00
8Shots23
0On target12
5Corners6
16Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Referee: D Webb
Recent form
Derby
D v Cardiff2–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Charlton1–2 · 15 Aug
L v Sheffield United1–2 · 2 May
W @ QPR3–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Norwich1–2 · 21 Apr
Swansea
D v Sheffield United0–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Stoke2–1 · 15 Aug
W v Charlton3–1 · 2 May
D @ Norwich1–1 · 25 Apr
W @ QPR2–1 · 21 Apr
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 2, Swansea won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Derby 2–0 Swansea, a win for Derby.
Derby 2–0 Swansea14 Feb 2026
Swansea 1–2 Derby25 Nov 2025
Swansea 1–0 Derby5 Apr 2025
Derby 1–2 Swansea27 Nov 2024
Swansea 2–1 Derby9 Apr 2022
Derby 0–0 Swansea2 Oct 2021
Season averages per game
DESW
0.83Goals1.33
1.75Conceded1.08
0.98xG1.51
1.76xG against1.35
12.6Shots11.8
3.8On target4.3
5.7Corners4.3
2.42Yellow cards1.67
8%Clean sheets42%
58%Both score42%
50%3+ goals58%