Derby vs West Brom result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 28%, away 30%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWest Brom won 1–0 away at Derby in the Championship on Wednesday 9 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Derby 42%, the draw 28% and West Brom 30%, so an away win had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Derby 1.28, West Brom 0.38, so Derby created the better chances. Derby had 13 shots (3 on target) to West Brom's 4 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
DEWB
1.28Expected goals0.38
13Shots4
3On target1
11Corners3
12Fouls9
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Referee: J Bell
Recent form
Derby
L @ West Ham0–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Portsmouth2–0 · 1 Sep
L v Swansea0–3 · 29 Aug
D v Cardiff2–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Charlton1–2 · 15 Aug
West Brom
W v Watford1–0 · 5 Sep
D v Charlton1–1 · 2 Sep
L @ Middlesbrough1–3 · 29 Aug
W v Burnley3–1 · 23 Aug
W @ Norwich2–1 · 15 Aug
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 4, West Brom won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Derby 1–1 West Brom23 Jan 2026
West Brom 0–1 Derby13 Sep 2025
West Brom 1–3 Derby21 Apr 2025
Derby 2–1 West Brom26 Dec 2024
Derby 1–0 West Brom27 Dec 2021
West Brom 0–0 Derby14 Sep 2021
Season averages per game
DEWB
0.83Goals1.33
1.75Conceded1.08
0.98xG1.40
1.76xG against1.47
12.6Shots12.2
3.8On target3.7
5.7Corners5.8
2.42Yellow cards2.00
8%Clean sheets17%
58%Both score67%
50%3+ goals42%