Millwall vs Lincoln result and stats
Win probability: home 52%, draw 28%, away 20%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMillwall and Lincoln drew 2–2 in the Championship on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Millwall 52%, the draw 28% and Lincoln 20%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Millwall 2.12, Lincoln 1.32, so Millwall created the better chances. Millwall had 18 shots (6 on target) to Lincoln's 9 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MILI
2.12Expected goals1.32
18Shots9
6On target3
12Corners2
14Fouls10
6Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals2
Referee: R Ricardo
Recent form
Millwall
L v Swansea0–1 · 13 Oct
W @ Preston1–0 · 10 Oct
D v West Ham2–2 · 19 Sep
D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 15 Sep
L @ Blackburn1–3 · 12 Sep
Lincoln
L v West Ham0–6 · 14 Oct
L @ Sheffield United0–3 · 10 Oct
L v Swansea1–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 15 Sep
W @ Preston1–0 · 12 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
MILI
1.58Goals1.08
1.67Conceded1.67
1.77xG1.32
1.33xG against1.46
13.9Shots12.3
3.9On target3.1
5.8Corners3.5
2.00Yellow cards2.33
33%Clean sheets33%
50%Both score50%
75%3+ goals58%