Millwall vs Swansea result and stats
Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSwansea won 1–0 away at Millwall in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Millwall 46%, the draw 28% and Swansea 26%, so an away win had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Millwall 1.05, Swansea 1.83, so Swansea created the better chances. Millwall had 8 shots (4 on target) to Swansea's 14 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MISW
1.05Expected goals1.83
8Shots14
4On target2
13Corners1
10Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: E Duckworth
Recent form
Millwall
W @ Preston1–0 · 10 Oct
D v West Ham2–2 · 19 Sep
D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 15 Sep
L @ Blackburn1–3 · 12 Sep
W v Bolton4–0 · 5 Sep
Swansea
W v Norwich2–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Lincoln2–1 · 19 Sep
W v Burnley3–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Southampton1–3 · 8 Sep
D v Wrexham0–0 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Millwall won 5, Swansea won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Millwall 2–1 Swansea, a win for Millwall.
Millwall 2–1 Swansea4 Jan 2026
Swansea 1–1 Millwall27 Sep 2025
Millwall 1–0 Swansea26 Apr 2025
Swansea 0–1 Millwall26 Oct 2024
Swansea 0–1 Millwall4 May 2024
Millwall 0–3 Swansea30 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
MISW
1.58Goals1.33
1.67Conceded1.08
1.77xG1.51
1.33xG against1.35
13.9Shots11.8
3.9On target4.3
5.8Corners4.3
2.00Yellow cards1.67
33%Clean sheets42%
50%Both score42%
75%3+ goals58%