ChampionshipMatchday 17Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Norwich vs QPR prediction

52%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
24%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 52%, draw 24%, away 25%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Norwich favourites to beat QPR at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Norwich a 52% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives QPR 25%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Norwich and 1.2 from QPR, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Norwich keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, QPR in 16%.

Norwich are 12th in the table with 21 points from 15 games; QPR are 8th with 24. In their last five league games Norwich took 12 points (LWWWW) and QPR took 7 (LWLDW). This season Norwich average 1.58 expected goals (xG) for and 1.41 against per game; QPR average 1.67 for and 1.10 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 3, QPR won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished QPR 1–2 Norwich, a win for Norwich.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
4
1
<1
<1
1
9
11
6
3
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
5
6
4
1
<1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Norwich goalsColumns: QPR goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.0%
2–19.7%
1–08.5%
2–08.1%
1–26.4%
3–15.9%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
81%
3 or more goals
58%
4 or more goals
36%
5 or more goals
19%
Both teams score
59%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.82 for Norwich and 1.20 for QPR.

Winning margin

Explained
Norwich by 3
8%
Norwich by 2
16%
Norwich by 1
22%
Draw
24%
QPR by 3
2%
QPR by 2
7%
QPR by 1
15%

Each team's goals

Explained
Norwich expected goals1.82
QPR expected goals1.20
Norwich keep a clean sheet30%
QPR keep a clean sheet16%
Norwich win without conceding25%
QPR win without conceding11%
Norwich score 2 or more54%
QPR score 2 or more34%

Recent form

Norwich
W @ Bristol City5–0 · 7 Nov
W @ Derby4–0 · 3 Nov
W v Watford3–2 · 31 Oct
W @ Charlton3–1 · 24 Oct
L v Portsmouth0–1 · 17 Oct
QPR
W v Lincoln2–1 · 7 Nov
D v Burnley1–1 · 3 Nov
L @ Southampton1–4 · 31 Oct
W v Swansea5–0 · 24 Oct
L @ Birmingham0–3 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 3, QPR won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished QPR 1–2 Norwich, a win for Norwich.

QPR 1–2 Norwich1 Jan 2026
Norwich 3–1 QPR29 Nov 2025
Norwich 1–1 QPR29 Dec 2024
QPR 3–0 Norwich7 Dec 2024
QPR 2–2 Norwich10 Feb 2024
Norwich 1–0 QPR25 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

NORQPR
2.13
Goals
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.20
1.58
xG
1.67
1.41
xG against
1.10
14.7
Shots
15.1
5.3
On target
4.8
4.7
Corners
5.6
1.87
Yellow cards
2.13
13%
Clean sheets
20%
60%
Both score
67%
80%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Norwich vs QPR?

GossipBall gives Norwich a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and QPR 25%. GossipBall makes Norwich favourites to beat QPR at home.

What is the predicted score for Norwich vs QPR?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Norwich, 1.2 for QPR). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Norwich vs QPR?

GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Norwich and QPR score.

Will there be three or more goals in Norwich vs QPR?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.8 for Norwich, 1.2 for QPR).

When is Norwich vs QPR?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and QPR?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 3, QPR won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished QPR 1–2 Norwich, a win for Norwich.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC