ChampionshipMatchday 18Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Preston vs Norwich prediction

31%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.0% chance
26%
draw
43%
away win
Win probability: home 31%, draw 26%, away 43%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Norwich slight favourites to beat Preston away from home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Preston a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Norwich 43%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Preston and 1.5 from Norwich, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Preston keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Norwich in 28%.

Preston are 24th in the table with 8 points from 15 games; Norwich are 12th with 21. In their last five league games Preston took 4 points (LDLLW) and Norwich took 12 (LWWWW). This season Preston average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 1.59 against per game; Norwich average 1.58 for and 1.41 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Preston won 2, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Norwich 2–0 Preston, a win for Norwich.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
9
7
4
1
<1
1
7
12
9
5
2
<1
2
5
8
6
3
1
<1
3
2
3
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Preston goalsColumns: Norwich goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.1%
1–29.0%
0–18.7%
2–17.5%
1–07.2%
0–27.0%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
54%
4 or more goals
31%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.28 for Preston and 1.54 for Norwich.

Winning margin

Explained
Preston by 3
3%
Preston by 2
9%
Preston by 1
18%
Draw
26%
Norwich by 3
6%
Norwich by 2
13%
Norwich by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Preston expected goals1.28
Norwich expected goals1.54
Preston keep a clean sheet21%
Norwich keep a clean sheet28%
Preston win without conceding15%
Norwich win without conceding21%
Preston score 2 or more37%
Norwich score 2 or more46%

Recent form

Preston
W v Southampton1–0 · 7 Nov
L v Sheffield United2–3 · 3 Nov
L @ Stoke0–2 · 31 Oct
D v West Brom1–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Wrexham1–4 · 17 Oct
Norwich
W @ Bristol City5–0 · 7 Nov
W @ Derby4–0 · 3 Nov
W v Watford3–2 · 31 Oct
W @ Charlton3–1 · 24 Oct
L v Portsmouth0–1 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Preston won 2, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Norwich 2–0 Preston, a win for Norwich.

Norwich 2–0 Preston14 Mar 2026
Preston 1–1 Norwich20 Dec 2025
Norwich 0–1 Preston11 Feb 2025
Preston 2–2 Norwich22 Oct 2024
Preston 0–1 Norwich13 Apr 2024
Norwich 0–0 Preston9 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

PNENOR
0.87
Goals
2.13
2.00
Conceded
1.60
1.15
xG
1.58
1.59
xG against
1.41
11.7
Shots
14.7
2.4
On target
5.3
4.7
Corners
4.7
2.27
Yellow cards
1.87
7%
Clean sheets
13%
60%
Both score
60%
60%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Preston vs Norwich?

GossipBall gives Preston a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Norwich 43%. GossipBall makes Norwich slight favourites to beat Preston away from home.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Norwich?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Preston, 1.5 for Norwich). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Preston vs Norwich?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Preston and Norwich score.

Will there be three or more goals in Preston vs Norwich?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.3 for Preston, 1.5 for Norwich).

When is Preston vs Norwich?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Norwich?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Preston won 2, Norwich won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Norwich 2–0 Preston, a win for Norwich.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC