ChampionshipMatchday 20Wednesday 9 December 2026 ·

Preston vs Portsmouth prediction

39%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.4% chance
28%
draw
33%
away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 28%, away 33%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Preston slight favourites to beat Portsmouth at home in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Preston a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Portsmouth 33%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Preston and 1.2 from Portsmouth, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 45% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Preston keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Portsmouth in 27%.

Preston are 24th in the table with 8 points from 15 games; Portsmouth are 11th with 22. In their last five league games Preston took 4 points (LDLLW) and Portsmouth took 8 (DWDWL). This season Preston average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 1.59 against per game; Portsmouth average 1.19 for and 1.24 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Preston won 2, Portsmouth won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Preston 1–0 Portsmouth, a win for Preston.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
9
6
2
<1
<1
1
10
13
8
3
<1
<1
2
7
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Preston goalsColumns: Portsmouth goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.2%
1–010.4%
0–19.4%
0–08.7%
2–18.4%
1–27.6%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
72%
3 or more goals
45%
4 or more goals
24%
5 or more goals
11%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.31 for Preston and 1.19 for Portsmouth.

Winning margin

Explained
Preston by 3
4%
Preston by 2
11%
Preston by 1
21%
Draw
28%
Portsmouth by 3
3%
Portsmouth by 2
9%
Portsmouth by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Preston expected goals1.31
Portsmouth expected goals1.19
Preston keep a clean sheet31%
Portsmouth keep a clean sheet27%
Preston win without conceding22%
Portsmouth win without conceding18%
Preston score 2 or more38%
Portsmouth score 2 or more33%

Recent form

Preston
W v Southampton1–0 · 7 Nov
L v Sheffield United2–3 · 3 Nov
L @ Stoke0–2 · 31 Oct
D v West Brom1–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Wrexham1–4 · 17 Oct
Portsmouth
L v Stoke1–2 · 7 Nov
W v Swansea3–1 · 3 Nov
D @ Burnley0–0 · 31 Oct
W v Millwall2–1 · 24 Oct
D @ Wolves1–1 · 20 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Preston won 2, Portsmouth won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Preston 1–0 Portsmouth, a win for Preston.

Preston 1–0 Portsmouth7 Feb 2026
Portsmouth 1–0 Preston30 Aug 2025
Preston 2–1 Portsmouth15 Mar 2025
Portsmouth 3–1 Preston9 Nov 2024

Season averages per game

PNEPOR
0.87
Goals
1.33
2.00
Conceded
1.20
1.15
xG
1.19
1.59
xG against
1.24
11.7
Shots
13.4
2.4
On target
3.7
4.7
Corners
5.7
2.27
Yellow cards
1.40
7%
Clean sheets
27%
60%
Both score
60%
60%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win Preston vs Portsmouth?

GossipBall gives Preston a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Portsmouth 33%. GossipBall makes Preston slight favourites to beat Portsmouth at home.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Portsmouth?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Preston, 1.2 for Portsmouth). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Preston vs Portsmouth?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Preston and Portsmouth score.

Will there be three or more goals in Preston vs Portsmouth?

There is a 45% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.3 for Preston, 1.2 for Portsmouth).

When is Preston vs Portsmouth?

Kick-off is Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Portsmouth?

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Preston won 2, Portsmouth won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Preston 1–0 Portsmouth, a win for Preston.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC