Southampton vs Millwall result and stats
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 25%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSouthampton beat Millwall 5–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Southampton 49%, the draw 25% and Millwall 25%, so a home win had a 49% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Southampton 3.21, Millwall 1.10, so Southampton created the better chances. Southampton had 21 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 15 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SOMI
3.21Expected goals1.10
21Shots15
7On target5
8Corners11
6Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Referee: A Herczeg
Recent form
Southampton
W v Stoke3–1 · 22 Aug
L @ Watford1–2 · 16 Aug
W @ Preston3–1 · 2 May
D v Ipswich2–2 · 28 Apr
D v Bristol City2–2 · 21 Apr
Millwall
W v Norwich3–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Bristol City2–0 · 15 Aug
W v Oxford2–0 · 2 May
D @ Leicester1–1 · 24 Apr
W @ Stoke3–1 · 21 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Southampton won 1, Millwall won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Southampton 0–0 Millwall1 Jan 2026
Millwall 3–2 Southampton29 Nov 2025
Southampton 1–2 Millwall24 Feb 2024
Millwall 0–1 Southampton4 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
SOMI
2.00Goals1.58
1.00Conceded1.67
1.77xG1.77
1.30xG against1.33
15.2Shots13.9
4.6On target3.9
5.1Corners5.8
1.92Yellow cards2.00
25%Clean sheets33%
75%Both score50%
58%3+ goals75%