Ajax vs Heerenveen result and stats
Win probability: home 70%, draw 17%, away 13%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAjax and Heerenveen drew 1–1 in the Eredivisie on Saturday 1 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Ajax 70%, the draw 17% and Heerenveen 13%, so a draw had a 17% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AJHE
9Shots17
2On target7
5Corners4
6Fouls16
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Ajax
W @ Twente3–2 · 26 Oct
L v AZ Alkmaar0–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 4 Oct
W v NAC Breda2–1 · 27 Sep
D @ PSV Eindhoven2–2 · 21 Sep
Heerenveen
D v NAC Breda3–3 · 24 Oct
W @ Telstar3–2 · 19 Oct
W v Excelsior2–1 · 4 Oct
D @ Utrecht2–2 · 28 Sep
W v NEC Nijmegen3–2 · 21 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 7, Heerenveen won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2025, finished Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax, a win for Ajax.
Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax19 Jan 2025
Ajax 1–0 Heerenveen11 Aug 2024
Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax11 Feb 2024
Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen5 Nov 2023
Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax12 Mar 2023
Ajax 5–0 Heerenveen10 Sep 2022