GossipBall
EredivisieSunday 23 November 2025 ·

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar result and stats

25%
test home win
3–1
full time
23%
draw
52%
test away win
Win probability: home 25%, draw 23%, away 52%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Heerenveen beat AZ Alkmaar 3–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 23 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Heerenveen 25%, the draw 23% and AZ Alkmaar 52%, so a home win had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

HEAA
21
Shots
9
9
On target
5
8
Corners
5
9
Fouls
4
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Heerenveen
L @ Fortuna Sittard0–2 · 8 Nov
D @ Ajax1–1 · 1 Nov
D v NAC Breda3–3 · 24 Oct
W @ Telstar3–2 · 19 Oct
W v Excelsior2–1 · 4 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
L v PSV Eindhoven1–5 · 9 Nov
W @ Sparta Rotterdam1–0 · 2 Nov
W v Utrecht4–1 · 26 Oct
W @ Ajax2–0 · 18 Oct
W v Telstar2–1 · 5 Oct

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 1, AZ Alkmaar won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Mar 2025, finished Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for Heerenveen.

Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar2 Mar 2025
AZ Alkmaar 9–1 Heerenveen14 Sep 2024
Heerenveen 2–2 AZ Alkmaar28 Jan 2024
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen21 Oct 2023
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Heerenveen1 Apr 2023
Heerenveen 0–2 AZ Alkmaar14 Jan 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]