Den Haag vs Excelsior prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Den Haag slight favourites to beat Excelsior at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 15:45 UTC. It gives Den Haag a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Excelsior 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Den Haag and 1.3 from Excelsior, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Den Haag keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Excelsior in 20%.
Den Haag are 17th in the table with 9 points from 12 games; Excelsior are 15th with 11. In their last five league games Den Haag took 7 points (DWLLW) and Excelsior took 0 (LLLLL). This season Den Haag average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 1.92 against per game; Excelsior average 1.13 for and 1.86 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.60 for Den Haag and 1.33 for Excelsior.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Den Haag vs Excelsior?
GossipBall gives Den Haag a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Excelsior 31%. GossipBall makes Den Haag slight favourites to beat Excelsior at home.
What is the predicted score for Den Haag vs Excelsior?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Den Haag, 1.3 for Excelsior). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Den Haag vs Excelsior?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Den Haag and Excelsior score.
Will there be three or more goals in Den Haag vs Excelsior?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.6 for Den Haag, 1.3 for Excelsior).
When is Den Haag vs Excelsior?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 15:45 UTC.