EredivisieMatchday 14Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Den Haag vs Utrecht prediction

29%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.3% chance
26%
draw
45%
away win
Win probability: home 29%, draw 26%, away 45%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Utrecht slight favourites to beat Den Haag away from home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 11:15 UTC. It gives Den Haag a 29% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Utrecht 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Den Haag and 1.7 from Utrecht, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Den Haag keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Utrecht in 27%.

Den Haag are 17th in the table with 9 points from 12 games; Utrecht are 14th with 12. In their last five league games Den Haag took 7 points (DWLLW) and Utrecht took 7 (WWDLL). This season Den Haag average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 1.92 against per game; Utrecht average 1.45 for and 1.87 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
7
7
4
2
<1
1
5
12
9
5
2
<1
2
4
7
6
3
1
<1
3
2
3
3
1
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Den Haag goalsColumns: Utrecht goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.4%
1–29.3%
2–17.2%
0–17.1%
0–27.1%
0–06.3%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
81%
3 or more goals
58%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
61%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.31 for Den Haag and 1.68 for Utrecht.

Winning margin

Explained
Den Haag by 3
3%
Den Haag by 2
8%
Den Haag by 1
16%
Draw
26%
Utrecht by 3
7%
Utrecht by 2
14%
Utrecht by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Den Haag expected goals1.31
Utrecht expected goals1.68
Den Haag keep a clean sheet19%
Utrecht keep a clean sheet27%
Den Haag win without conceding12%
Utrecht win without conceding21%
Den Haag score 2 or more38%
Utrecht score 2 or more50%

Recent form

Den Haag
W v Sparta Rotterdam3–1 · 7 Nov
L @ Zwolle0–1 · 1 Nov
L v Heerenveen2–3 · 24 Oct
W v PSV Eindhoven2–1 · 17 Oct
D @ Telstar2–2 · 11 Oct
Utrecht
L v NEC Nijmegen2–3 · 8 Nov
L @ Telstar2–4 · 1 Nov
D v Zwolle1–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Twente2–1 · 18 Oct
W v Willem II3–1 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

ADOUTR
1.33
Goals
1.75
2.08
Conceded
2.83
1.16
xG
1.45
1.92
xG against
1.87
12.5
Shots
14.1
4.0
On target
4.5
3.8
Corners
4.4
1.83
Yellow cards
2.08
0%
Clean sheets
0%
75%
Both score
92%
67%
3+ goals
92%

Questions and answers

Who will win Den Haag vs Utrecht?

GossipBall gives Den Haag a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Utrecht 45%. GossipBall makes Utrecht slight favourites to beat Den Haag away from home.

What is the predicted score for Den Haag vs Utrecht?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Den Haag, 1.7 for Utrecht). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Den Haag vs Utrecht?

GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Den Haag and Utrecht score.

Will there be three or more goals in Den Haag vs Utrecht?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.3 for Den Haag, 1.7 for Utrecht).

When is Den Haag vs Utrecht?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 11:15 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC