EredivisieMatchday 12Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:30

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar prediction

Fortuna Sittard

37%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.9% chance

27%

draw

Telstar

35%

away win

Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 35%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Fortuna Sittard against Telstar as too close to call in the Eredivisie on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Fortuna Sittard a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Telstar 35%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Fortuna Sittard and 1.4 from Telstar, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Telstar in 23%.

Fortuna Sittard are 6th in the table with 18 points from 10 games; Telstar are 16th with 6. In their last five league games Fortuna Sittard took 8 points (LWDDW) and Telstar took 2 (DLDLL). This season Fortuna Sittard average 0.86 expected goals (xG) for and 2.14 against per game; Telstar average 1.30 for and 2.14 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Fortuna Sittard won 1, Telstar won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 1–4 Telstar, a win for Telstar.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Fortuna Sittard goalsColumns: Telstar goals

1–112.9%

2–18.6%

1–28.2%

0–06.8%

1–06.6%

0–16.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

80%

3 or more goals

56%

4 or more goals

34%

5 or more goals

17%

Both teams score

60%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.49 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.44 for Telstar.

Winning margin

Explained

Fortuna Sittard by 3

Fortuna Sittard by 2

12%

Fortuna Sittard by 1

19%

Draw

27%

Telstar by 3

Telstar by 2

11%

Telstar by 1

18%

Each team's goals

Explained

Fortuna Sittard expected goals1.49

Telstar expected goals1.44

Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet24%

Telstar keep a clean sheet23%

Fortuna Sittard win without conceding17%

Telstar win without conceding16%

Fortuna Sittard score 2 or more44%

Telstar score 2 or more42%

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard

W v Excelsior1–0 · 25 Oct

D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 18 Oct

D v Twente1–1 · 10 Oct

W @ Willem II1–0 · 19 Sep

L v Ajax1–5 · 12 Sep

Telstar

L @ Go Ahead Eagles2–3 · 23 Oct

L v Feyenoord3–4 · 17 Oct

D v Den Haag2–2 · 11 Oct

L @ AZ Alkmaar0–1 · 20 Sep

D @ Heerenveen0–0 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Fortuna Sittard won 1, Telstar won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 1–4 Telstar, a win for Telstar.

Fortuna Sittard 1–4 Telstar8 Mar 2026

Telstar 1–3 Fortuna Sittard14 Sep 2025

Season averages per game

FSTE

1.70

Goals

1.20

1.70

Conceded

2.10

0.86

1.30

2.14

xG against

2.14

9.7

Shots

12.0

4.5

On target

3.1

2.7

Corners

4.5

1.50

Yellow cards

1.40

20%

Clean sheets

10%

70%

Both score

60%

3+ goals

70%

Questions and answers

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

GossipBall gives Fortuna Sittard a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Telstar 35%. GossipBall sees Fortuna Sittard against Telstar as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 0–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Fortuna Sittard and Telstar score.

Will there be three or more goals in Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.5 for Fortuna Sittard, 1.4 for Telstar).

When is Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Telstar?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Fortuna Sittard won 1, Telstar won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 1–4 Telstar, a win for Telstar.