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Groningen vs Willem II prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Groningen clear favourites to beat Willem II at home in the Eredivisie on Friday 27 November 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It gives Groningen a 65% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Willem II 14%.
GossipBall expects 2.2 goals from Groningen and 1.0 from Willem II, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Groningen keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Willem II in 11%.
Groningen are 9th in the table with 15 points from 12 games; Willem II are 18th with 3. In their last five league games Groningen took 4 points (WLDLL) and Willem II took 1 (LLLLD). This season Groningen average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 2.18 against per game; Willem II average 1.15 for and 2.15 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Willem II won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, finished Willem II 1–3 Groningen, a win for Groningen.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.23 for Groningen and 0.95 for Willem II.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Willem II won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, finished Willem II 1–3 Groningen, a win for Groningen.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Groningen vs Willem II?
GossipBall gives Groningen a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Willem II 14%. GossipBall makes Groningen clear favourites to beat Willem II at home.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Willem II?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.2 for Groningen, 1.0 for Willem II). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Groningen vs Willem II?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Groningen and Willem II score.
Will there be three or more goals in Groningen vs Willem II?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.2 for Groningen, 1.0 for Willem II).
When is Groningen vs Willem II?
Kick-off is Friday 27 November 2026 at 19:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Willem II?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Willem II won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, finished Willem II 1–3 Groningen, a win for Groningen.