Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAZ Alkmaar won 3–2 away at Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 6 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Heerenveen 30%, the draw 26% and AZ Alkmaar 44%, so an away win had a 44% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Heerenveen 1.48, AZ Alkmaar 1.04, so Heerenveen created the better chances. Heerenveen had 14 shots (5 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 15 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HEAA
1.48Expected goals1.04
14Shots15
5On target8
4Corners3
9Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Heerenveen
D @ Willem II2–2 · 30 Aug
L v Zwolle0–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Ajax2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Twente1–0 · 9 Aug
D v Ajax0–0 · 17 May
AZ Alkmaar
W v Go Ahead Eagles5–2 · 29 Aug
W @ Fortuna Sittard2–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Utrecht4–1 · 15 Aug
W v Den Haag2–0 · 8 Aug
D v NAC Breda3–3 · 17 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen, a win for AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen12 Apr 2026
Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar23 Nov 2025
Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar2 Mar 2025
AZ Alkmaar 9–1 Heerenveen14 Sep 2024
Heerenveen 2–2 AZ Alkmaar28 Jan 2024
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen21 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
HEAA
1.80Goals2.00
1.30Conceded1.20
1.50xG2.17
1.45xG against1.22
15.3Shots16.8
5.9On target6.4
4.8Corners7.5
0.90Yellow cards1.40
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Both score50%
60%3+ goals40%