EredivisieMatchday 14Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

NEC Nijmegen vs Twente prediction

32%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.9% chance
26%
draw
42%
away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 42%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Twente slight favourites to beat NEC Nijmegen away from home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It gives NEC Nijmegen a 32% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Twente 42%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from NEC Nijmegen and 1.7 from Twente, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 65% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Twente in 23%.

NEC Nijmegen are 11th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; Twente are 4th with 24. In their last five league games NEC Nijmegen took 6 points (DDDLW) and Twente took 8 (DLWWD). This season NEC Nijmegen average 1.71 expected goals (xG) for and 1.76 against per game; Twente average 2.42 for and 0.80 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 2, Twente won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
6
3
1
<1
1
5
12
9
5
2
<1
2
4
8
7
4
2
<1
3
2
4
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: NEC Nijmegen goalsColumns: Twente goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.6%
1–28.9%
2–17.7%
2–26.6%
0–26.0%
0–15.8%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
62%
4 or more goals
40%
5 or more goals
22%
Both teams score
65%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.48 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.72 for Twente.

Winning margin

Explained
NEC Nijmegen by 3
4%
NEC Nijmegen by 2
10%
NEC Nijmegen by 1
17%
Draw
26%
Twente by 3
6%
Twente by 2
13%
Twente by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
NEC Nijmegen expected goals1.48
Twente expected goals1.72
NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet18%
Twente keep a clean sheet23%
NEC Nijmegen win without conceding13%
Twente win without conceding17%
NEC Nijmegen score 2 or more43%
Twente score 2 or more51%

Recent form

NEC Nijmegen
W @ Utrecht3–2 · 8 Nov
L @ Heerenveen0–1 · 31 Oct
D v Groningen2–2 · 25 Oct
D v Fortuna Sittard2–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Ajax1–1 · 10 Oct
Twente
D v Ajax2–2 · 8 Nov
W @ Excelsior9–0 · 1 Nov
W @ AZ Alkmaar2–0 · 25 Oct
L v Utrecht1–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Fortuna Sittard1–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 2, Twente won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen25 Apr 2026
NEC Nijmegen 3–3 Twente18 Oct 2025
Twente 2–0 NEC Nijmegen23 Feb 2025
NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Twente10 Aug 2024
NEC Nijmegen 1–0 Twente20 Jan 2024
Twente 3–3 NEC Nijmegen11 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

NECTWE
1.67
Goals
2.50
1.75
Conceded
1.00
1.71
xG
2.42
1.76
xG against
0.80
16.3
Shots
21.1
4.7
On target
7.4
6.5
Corners
7.2
1.58
Yellow cards
1.17
0%
Clean sheets
33%
83%
Both score
58%
75%
3+ goals
58%

Questions and answers

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

GossipBall gives NEC Nijmegen a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Twente 42%. GossipBall makes Twente slight favourites to beat NEC Nijmegen away from home.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for NEC Nijmegen, 1.7 for Twente). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

GossipBall gives a 65% chance that both NEC Nijmegen and Twente score.

Will there be three or more goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.5 for NEC Nijmegen, 1.7 for Twente).

When is NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Twente?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 2, Twente won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC