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Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes NEC Nijmegen slight favourites to beat Sparta Rotterdam away from home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Sparta Rotterdam a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives NEC Nijmegen 42%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Sparta Rotterdam and 1.7 from NEC Nijmegen, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Sparta Rotterdam keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, NEC Nijmegen in 22%.
Sparta Rotterdam are 12th in the table with 12 points from 12 games; NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 14. In their last five league games Sparta Rotterdam took 7 points (DWLWL) and NEC Nijmegen took 6 (DDDLW). This season Sparta Rotterdam average 1.97 expected goals (xG) for and 1.87 against per game; NEC Nijmegen average 1.71 for and 1.76 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Sparta Rotterdam won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 1.52 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.74 for NEC Nijmegen.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Sparta Rotterdam won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?
GossipBall gives Sparta Rotterdam a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and NEC Nijmegen 42%. GossipBall makes NEC Nijmegen slight favourites to beat Sparta Rotterdam away from home.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Sparta Rotterdam, 1.7 for NEC Nijmegen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?
GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Sparta Rotterdam and NEC Nijmegen score.
Will there be three or more goals in Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?
There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (1.5 for Sparta Rotterdam, 1.7 for NEC Nijmegen).
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC Nijmegen?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Sparta Rotterdam won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.