Twente vs Willem II prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Twente clear favourites to beat Willem II at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 11:15 UTC. It gives Twente a 81% chance of winning, puts the draw at 13% and gives Willem II 6%.
GossipBall expects 2.9 goals from Twente and 0.7 from Willem II, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Twente keep a clean sheet in 50% of outcomes, Willem II in 6%.
Twente are 4th in the table with 23 points from 11 games; Willem II are 18th with 2. In their last five league games Twente took 10 points (WDLWW) and Willem II took 0 (LLLLL). This season Twente average 2.41 expected goals (xG) for and 0.81 against per game; Willem II average 1.19 for and 2.28 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Twente won 3, Willem II won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Jan 2025, finished Twente 6–2 Willem II, a win for Twente.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total: 2.86 for Twente and 0.69 for Willem II.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Twente won 3, Willem II won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Jan 2025, finished Twente 6–2 Willem II, a win for Twente.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
GossipBall gives Twente a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Willem II 6%. GossipBall makes Twente clear favourites to beat Willem II at home.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs Willem II?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.9 for Twente, 0.7 for Willem II). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (12%), 3–0 (11%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Twente vs Willem II?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Twente and Willem II score.
Will there be three or more goals in Twente vs Willem II?
There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total (2.9 for Twente, 0.7 for Willem II).
When is Twente vs Willem II?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 11:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Twente and Willem II?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Twente won 3, Willem II won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Jan 2025, finished Twente 6–2 Willem II, a win for Twente.