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Zwolle vs Excelsior prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Zwolle slight favourites to beat Excelsior at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Zwolle a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Excelsior 32%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Zwolle and 1.3 from Excelsior, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Zwolle keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Excelsior in 21%.
Zwolle are 13th in the table with 12 points from 12 games; Excelsior are 15th with 11. In their last five league games Zwolle took 8 points (LWDWD) and Excelsior took 0 (LLLLL). This season Zwolle average 1.03 expected goals (xG) for and 1.65 against per game; Excelsior average 1.13 for and 1.86 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Zwolle won 2, Excelsior won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.56 for Zwolle and 1.34 for Excelsior.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2023, Zwolle won 2, Excelsior won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Zwolle vs Excelsior?
GossipBall gives Zwolle a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Excelsior 32%. GossipBall makes Zwolle slight favourites to beat Excelsior at home.
What is the predicted score for Zwolle vs Excelsior?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Zwolle, 1.3 for Excelsior). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Zwolle vs Excelsior?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Zwolle and Excelsior score.
Will there be three or more goals in Zwolle vs Excelsior?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.6 for Zwolle, 1.3 for Excelsior).
When is Zwolle vs Excelsior?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Zwolle and Excelsior?
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Zwolle won 2, Excelsior won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.