GossipBall
La LigaSaturday 30 August 2025 ·

Alaves vs Atlético Madrid result and stats

21%
test home win
1–1
full time
26%
draw
52%
test away win
Win probability: home 21%, draw 26%, away 52%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Alaves and Atlético Madrid drew 1–1 in the La Liga on Saturday 30 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Alaves 21%, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 52%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ALAM
5
Shots
15
2
On target
6
1
Corners
6
10
Fouls
17
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Alaves
L @ Real Betis0–1 · 22 Aug
W v Levante2–1 · 16 Aug
D v Osasuna1–1 · 24 May
W @ Valladolid1–0 · 18 May
W v Valencia1–0 · 14 May
Atlético Madrid
D v Elche1–1 · 23 Aug
L @ Espanyol1–2 · 17 Aug
W @ Girona4–0 · 25 May
W v Real Betis4–1 · 18 May
L @ Osasuna0–2 · 15 May

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 2, Atlético Madrid won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Alaves 0–0 Atlético Madrid3 May 2025
Atlético Madrid 2–1 Alaves23 Nov 2024
Alaves 2–0 Atlético Madrid21 Apr 2024
Atlético Madrid 2–1 Alaves29 Oct 2023
Atlético Madrid 4–1 Alaves2 Apr 2022
Alaves 1–0 Atlético Madrid25 Sep 2021

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]