GossipBall
La LigaWednesday 24 September 2025 ·

Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano result and stats

66%
test home win
3–2
full time
21%
draw
13%
test away win
Win probability: home 66%, draw 21%, away 13%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Atlético Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 3–2 at home in the La Liga on Wednesday 24 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Atlético Madrid 66%, the draw 21% and Rayo Vallecano 13%, so a home win had a 66% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

AMRV
20
Shots
9
8
On target
3
8
Corners
6
6
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Atlético Madrid
D @ Mallorca1–1 · 21 Sep
W v Villarreal2–0 · 13 Sep
D @ Alaves1–1 · 30 Aug
D v Elche1–1 · 23 Aug
L @ Espanyol1–2 · 17 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
D v Celta Vigo1–1 · 21 Sep
L @ Osasuna0–2 · 14 Sep
D v Barcelona1–1 · 31 Aug
L @ Athletic Club0–1 · 25 Aug
W @ Girona3–1 · 15 Aug

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Atlético Madrid won 6, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2025, finished Atlético Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano, a win for Atlético Madrid.

Atlético Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano24 Apr 2025
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atlético Madrid22 Sep 2024
Atlético Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano31 Jan 2024
Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atlético Madrid28 Aug 2023
Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atlético Madrid9 Apr 2023
Atlético Madrid 1–1 Rayo Vallecano18 Oct 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]