Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 25%, away 37%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAtlético Madrid beat Real Madrid 5–2 at home in the La Liga on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Atlético Madrid 37%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 37%, so a home win had a 37% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AMRM
13Shots6
7On target2
7Corners2
17Fouls14
5Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
W v Rayo Vallecano3–2 · 24 Sep
D @ Mallorca1–1 · 21 Sep
W v Villarreal2–0 · 13 Sep
D @ Alaves1–1 · 30 Aug
D v Elche1–1 · 23 Aug
Real Madrid
W @ Levante4–1 · 23 Sep
W v Espanyol2–0 · 20 Sep
W @ Real Sociedad2–1 · 13 Sep
W v Mallorca2–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Real Oviedo3–0 · 24 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Atlético Madrid won 2, Real Madrid won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Real Madrid 1–1 Atlético Madrid8 Feb 2025
Atlético Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid29 Sep 2024
Real Madrid 1–1 Atlético Madrid4 Feb 2024
Atlético Madrid 3–1 Real Madrid24 Sep 2023
Real Madrid 1–1 Atlético Madrid25 Feb 2023
Atlético Madrid 1–2 Real Madrid18 Sep 2022