GossipBall
La LigaSunday 15 February 2026 ·

Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid result and stats

18%
test home win
3–0
full time
27%
draw
54%
test away win
Win probability: home 18%, draw 27%, away 54%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Rayo Vallecano beat Atlético Madrid 3–0 at home in the La Liga on Sunday 15 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Rayo Vallecano 18%, the draw 27% and Atlético Madrid 54%, so a home win had a 18% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

RVAM
13
Shots
9
9
On target
3
4
Corners
8
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano
L @ Real Madrid1–2 · 1 Feb
L v Osasuna1–3 · 24 Jan
L @ Celta Vigo0–3 · 18 Jan
W v Mallorca2–1 · 11 Jan
D v Getafe1–1 · 2 Jan
Atlético Madrid
L v Real Betis0–1 · 8 Feb
D @ Levante0–0 · 31 Jan
W v Mallorca3–0 · 25 Jan
W v Alaves1–0 · 18 Jan
D @ Real Sociedad1–1 · 4 Jan

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2022, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Atlético Madrid won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Sep 2025, finished Atlético Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano, a win for Atlético Madrid.

Atlético Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano24 Sep 2025
Atlético Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano24 Apr 2025
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atlético Madrid22 Sep 2024
Atlético Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano31 Jan 2024
Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atlético Madrid28 Aug 2023
Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atlético Madrid9 Apr 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]