Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano result and stats
Win probability: home 77%, draw 16%, away 7%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersReal Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 at home in the La Liga on Sunday 1 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Real Madrid 77%, the draw 16% and Rayo Vallecano 7%, so a home win had a 77% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
RMRV
16Shots11
6On target4
9Corners4
6Fouls18
2Yellow cards8
0Red cards2
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Real Madrid
W @ Villarreal2–0 · 24 Jan
W v Levante2–0 · 17 Jan
W v Real Betis5–1 · 4 Jan
W v Sevilla2–0 · 20 Dec
W @ Alaves2–1 · 14 Dec
Rayo Vallecano
L v Osasuna1–3 · 24 Jan
L @ Celta Vigo0–3 · 18 Jan
W v Mallorca2–1 · 11 Jan
D v Getafe1–1 · 2 Jan
L @ Elche0–4 · 21 Dec
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Real Madrid won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Nov 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid9 Nov 2025
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano9 Mar 2025
Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Madrid14 Dec 2024
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real Madrid18 Feb 2024
Real Madrid 0–0 Rayo Vallecano5 Nov 2023
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano24 May 2023