Alaves vs Atlético Madrid result and stats
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 47%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAtlético Madrid won 2–1 away at Alaves in the La Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alaves 27%, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 47%, so an away win had a 47% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Alaves 1.30, Atlético Madrid 2.05, so Atlético Madrid created the better chances. Alaves had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 22 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALAM
1.30Expected goals2.05
8Shots22
3On target7
0Corners10
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Alaves
D @ Athletic Club0–0 · 19 Sep
L v Valencia0–1 · 15 Sep
L @ Santander1–2 · 12 Sep
W v Osasuna5–2 · 6 Sep
W v Villarreal1–0 · 28 Aug
Atlético Madrid
W v Real Madrid2–1 · 20 Sep
W v Osasuna4–0 · 16 Sep
W @ Real Sociedad3–0 · 13 Sep
L @ Athletic Club0–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Sevilla3–1 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 2, Atlético Madrid won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 1–0 Alaves, a win for Atlético Madrid.
Atlético Madrid 1–0 Alaves18 Jan 2026
Alaves 1–1 Atlético Madrid30 Aug 2025
Alaves 0–0 Atlético Madrid3 May 2025
Atlético Madrid 2–1 Alaves23 Nov 2024
Alaves 2–0 Atlético Madrid21 Apr 2024
Atlético Madrid 2–1 Alaves29 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
ALAM
1.40Goals2.00
1.10Conceded0.80
1.32xG1.70
1.17xG against1.06
13.3Shots18.0
4.7On target6.2
4.1Corners6.0
1.70Yellow cards2.40
30%Clean sheets50%
60%Both score40%
50%3+ goals70%