Alaves vs Malaga result and stats
Win probability: home 60%, draw 24%, away 16%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAlaves and Malaga drew 1–1 in the La Liga on Friday 23 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alaves 60%, the draw 24% and Malaga 16%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Alaves 1.84, Malaga 0.71, so Alaves created the better chances. Alaves had 18 shots (4 on target) to Malaga's 7 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALMA
1.84Expected goals0.71
18Shots7
4On target3
7Corners2
14Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Alaves
L @ Celta Vigo1–2 · 18 Oct
L v Atlético Madrid1–2 · 10 Oct
D @ Athletic Club0–0 · 19 Sep
L v Valencia0–1 · 15 Sep
L @ Santander1–2 · 12 Sep
Malaga
L v Real Sociedad2–5 · 18 Oct
D v Espanyol1–1 · 9 Oct
L @ Getafe0–1 · 20 Sep
L v Villarreal1–3 · 17 Sep
D @ Celta Vigo1–1 · 13 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
ALMA
1.40Goals0.70
1.10Conceded1.90
1.32xG0.85
1.17xG against1.69
13.3Shots10.9
4.7On target3.0
4.1Corners5.2
1.70Yellow cards1.90
30%Clean sheets10%
60%Both score60%
50%3+ goals30%