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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Athletic Club favourites to beat Espanyol at home in La Liga on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Athletic Club a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Espanyol 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Athletic Club and 0.8 from Espanyol, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Athletic Club keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Espanyol in 22%.
Athletic Club are 7th in the table with 15 points from 10 games; Espanyol are 14th with 11. In their last five league games Athletic Club took 8 points (DDLWW) and Espanyol took 4 (LDLLW). This season Athletic Club average 1.59 expected goals (xG) for and 1.18 against per game; Espanyol average 1.00 for and 1.33 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Athletic Club won 3, Espanyol won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Espanyol 2–0 Athletic Club, a win for Espanyol.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.53 for Athletic Club and 0.85 for Espanyol.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Athletic Club won 3, Espanyol won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Espanyol 2–0 Athletic Club, a win for Espanyol.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
GossipBall gives Athletic Club a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Espanyol 21%. GossipBall makes Athletic Club favourites to beat Espanyol at home.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Athletic Club, 0.8 for Espanyol). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Athletic Club and Espanyol score.
Will there be three or more goals in Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.5 for Athletic Club, 0.8 for Espanyol).
When is Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
Kick-off is Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Espanyol?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Athletic Club won 3, Espanyol won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Espanyol 2–0 Athletic Club, a win for Espanyol.