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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Barcelona clear favourites to beat Villarreal at home in La Liga on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Barcelona a 72% chance of winning, puts the draw at 15% and gives Villarreal 13%.
GossipBall expects 2.9 goals from Barcelona and 1.2 from Villarreal, so goals look likely: there is a 77% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Barcelona keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Villarreal in 6%.
Barcelona are 1st in the table with 30 points from 11 games; Villarreal are 9th with 12. In their last five league games Barcelona took 12 points (WWWLW) and Villarreal took 7 (WLDWL). This season Barcelona average 3.39 expected goals (xG) for and 1.06 against per game; Villarreal average 1.97 for and 1.09 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Barcelona won 7, Villarreal won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Barcelona 4–1 Villarreal, a win for Barcelona.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total: 2.88 for Barcelona and 1.21 for Villarreal.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Barcelona won 7, Villarreal won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Barcelona 4–1 Villarreal, a win for Barcelona.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Barcelona vs Villarreal?
GossipBall gives Barcelona a 72% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Villarreal 13%. GossipBall makes Barcelona clear favourites to beat Villarreal at home.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona vs Villarreal?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.9 for Barcelona, 1.2 for Villarreal). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Villarreal?
GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Barcelona and Villarreal score.
Will there be three or more goals in Barcelona vs Villarreal?
There is a 77% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total (2.9 for Barcelona, 1.2 for Villarreal).
When is Barcelona vs Villarreal?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Villarreal?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Barcelona won 7, Villarreal won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Barcelona 4–1 Villarreal, a win for Barcelona.