La LigaMatchday 13Monday 23 November 2026 ·

Levante vs Elche prediction

47%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.3% chance
23%
draw
30%
away win
Win probability: home 47%, draw 23%, away 30%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Levante favourites to beat Elche at home in La Liga on Monday 23 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Levante a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Elche 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Levante and 1.3 from Elche, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Levante keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Elche in 18%.

Levante are 18th in the table with 10 points from 11 games; Elche are 17th with 10. In their last five league games Levante took 5 points (DDWLL) and Elche took 8 (WDDWL). This season Levante average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 1.91 against per game; Elche average 1.23 for and 1.76 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Levante won 2, Elche won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 23 Jan 2026, finished Levante 3–2 Elche, a win for Levante.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
7
4
2
<1
<1
1
8
11
7
3
1
<1
2
7
9
6
3
<1
<1
3
4
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Levante goalsColumns: Elche goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.8%
2–19.3%
1–08.3%
1–27.2%
2–07.0%
0–16.5%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
58%
4 or more goals
36%
5 or more goals
19%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.71 for Levante and 1.33 for Elche.

Winning margin

Explained
Levante by 3
7%
Levante by 2
14%
Levante by 1
22%
Draw
23%
Elche by 3
3%
Elche by 2
9%
Elche by 1
17%

Each team's goals

Explained
Levante expected goals1.71
Elche expected goals1.33
Levante keep a clean sheet26%
Elche keep a clean sheet18%
Levante win without conceding22%
Elche win without conceding13%
Levante score 2 or more51%
Elche score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Levante
L v Atlético Madrid0–2 · 31 Oct
L @ Real Sociedad1–2 · 25 Oct
W v Athletic Club3–1 · 21 Oct
D @ Deportivo La Coruña1–1 · 16 Oct
D v Sevilla3–3 · 12 Oct
Elche
L v Valencia0–1 · 1 Nov
W @ Rayo Vallecano3–0 · 24 Oct
D @ Villarreal0–0 · 17 Oct
D v Celta Vigo0–0 · 11 Oct
W @ Espanyol3–1 · 18 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Levante won 2, Elche won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 23 Jan 2026, finished Levante 3–2 Elche, a win for Levante.

Levante 3–2 Elche23 Jan 2026
Elche 2–0 Levante29 Aug 2025
Levante 3–0 Elche25 Feb 2022
Elche 1–1 Levante18 Sep 2021

Season averages per game

LEVELC
1.45
Goals
1.27
1.91
Conceded
1.64
1.35
xG
1.23
1.91
xG against
1.76
12.1
Shots
11.9
4.3
On target
4.5
3.5
Corners
4.5
1.36
Yellow cards
2.55
18%
Clean sheets
27%
64%
Both score
55%
64%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win Levante vs Elche?

GossipBall gives Levante a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elche 30%. GossipBall makes Levante favourites to beat Elche at home.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Elche?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Levante, 1.3 for Elche). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Levante vs Elche?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Levante and Elche score.

Will there be three or more goals in Levante vs Elche?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.7 for Levante, 1.3 for Elche).

When is Levante vs Elche?

Kick-off is Monday 23 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Elche?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Levante won 2, Elche won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 23 Jan 2026, finished Levante 3–2 Elche, a win for Levante.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC