La LigaMatchday 14Friday 27 November 2026 ·

Levante vs Santander prediction

59%
home win
predicted score
3–1
7.1% chance
18%
draw
22%
away win
Win probability: home 59%, draw 18%, away 22%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Levante favourites to beat Santander at home in La Liga on Friday 27 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Levante a 59% chance of winning, puts the draw at 18% and gives Santander 22%.

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals from Levante and 1.5 from Santander, so goals look likely: there is a 76% chance of three or more goals and a 71% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Levante keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Santander in 8%.

Levante are 17th in the table with 11 points from 12 games; Santander are 10th with 14. In their last five league games Levante took 5 points (DWLLD) and Santander took 7 (DLWLW). This season Levante average 1.26 expected goals (xG) for and 2.02 against per game; Santander average 1.42 for and 2.22 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
2
3
2
1
<1
<1
1
5
7
5
3
<1
<1
2
6
9
6
3
1
<1
3
5
7
5
3
1
<1
4
3
4
3
2
<1
<1
5
1
2
2
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Levante goalsColumns: Santander goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–18.6%
3–17.1%
1–16.8%
2–26.5%
2–05.7%
3–25.4%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
91%
3 or more goals
76%
4 or more goals
57%
5 or more goals
37%
Both teams score
71%

GossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total: 2.50 for Levante and 1.50 for Santander.

Winning margin

Explained
Levante by 3
11%
Levante by 2
17%
Levante by 1
21%
Draw
18%
Santander by 3
2%
Santander by 2
6%
Santander by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
Levante expected goals2.50
Santander expected goals1.50
Levante keep a clean sheet22%
Santander keep a clean sheet8%
Levante win without conceding20%
Santander win without conceding6%
Levante score 2 or more71%
Santander score 2 or more44%

Recent form

Levante
D @ Celta Vigo0–0 · 8 Nov
L v Atlético Madrid0–2 · 31 Oct
L @ Real Sociedad1–2 · 25 Oct
W v Athletic Club3–1 · 21 Oct
D @ Deportivo La Coruña1–1 · 16 Oct
Santander
W @ Malaga2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Real Madrid0–3 · 1 Nov
W v Espanyol2–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Osasuna0–2 · 18 Oct
D v Valencia2–2 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

LEVSAN
1.33
Goals
1.42
1.75
Conceded
2.50
1.26
xG
1.42
2.02
xG against
2.22
11.6
Shots
12.9
3.9
On target
4.8
3.3
Corners
4.8
1.42
Yellow cards
2.58
25%
Clean sheets
0%
58%
Both score
67%
58%
3+ goals
83%

Questions and answers

Who will win Levante vs Santander?

GossipBall gives Levante a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Santander 22%. GossipBall makes Levante favourites to beat Santander at home.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Santander?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.5 for Levante, 1.5 for Santander). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Levante vs Santander?

GossipBall gives a 71% chance that both Levante and Santander score.

Will there be three or more goals in Levante vs Santander?

There is a 76% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total (2.5 for Levante, 1.5 for Santander).

When is Levante vs Santander?

Kick-off is Friday 27 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC