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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Osasuna favourites to beat Elche at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Osasuna a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Elche 28%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Osasuna and 1.2 from Elche, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Osasuna keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Elche in 21%.
Osasuna are 16th in the table with 12 points from 12 games; Elche are 18th with 10. In their last five league games Osasuna took 4 points (LWLLD) and Elche took 5 (DDWLL). This season Osasuna average 1.40 expected goals (xG) for and 1.55 against per game; Elche average 1.20 for and 1.76 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Osasuna won 1, Elche won 0 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.55 for Osasuna and 1.15 for Elche.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Osasuna won 1, Elche won 0 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Osasuna vs Elche?
GossipBall gives Osasuna a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Elche 28%. GossipBall makes Osasuna favourites to beat Elche at home.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Elche?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Osasuna, 1.2 for Elche). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Elche?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Osasuna and Elche score.
Will there be three or more goals in Osasuna vs Elche?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Osasuna, 1.2 for Elche).
When is Osasuna vs Elche?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Elche?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Osasuna won 1, Elche won 0 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.