Real Madrid vs Malaga result and stats
Win probability: home 75%, draw 17%, away 8%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersReal Madrid beat Malaga 4–0 at home in the La Liga on Sunday 30 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Real Madrid 75%, the draw 17% and Malaga 8%, so a home win had a 75% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Real Madrid 2.40, Malaga 0.72, so Real Madrid created the better chances. Real Madrid had 19 shots (8 on target) to Malaga's 14 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
RMMA
2.40Expected goals0.72
19Shots14
8On target1
9Corners6
6Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Recent form
Real Madrid
W v Real Sociedad4–1 · 26 Aug
W @ Espanyol2–1 · 22 Aug
W v Athletic Club4–2 · 23 May
W @ Sevilla1–0 · 17 May
W v Real Oviedo2–0 · 14 May
Malaga
D v Deportivo La Coruña1–1 · 24 Aug
L @ Atlético Madrid0–2 · 19 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
RMMA
2.50Goals0.70
1.00Conceded1.90
2.39xG0.85
1.01xG against1.69
16.8Shots10.9
7.0On target3.0
6.4Corners5.2
2.30Yellow cards1.90
20%Clean sheets10%
70%Both score60%
80%3+ goals30%