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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Real Sociedad favourites to beat Sevilla at home in La Liga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Real Sociedad a 52% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Sevilla 25%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Real Sociedad and 1.1 from Sevilla, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Sevilla in 17%.
Real Sociedad are 5th in the table with 22 points from 12 games; Sevilla are 6th with 18. In their last five league games Real Sociedad took 12 points (WWWLW) and Sevilla took 5 (DLWLD). This season Real Sociedad average 1.41 expected goals (xG) for and 1.65 against per game; Sevilla average 1.08 for and 1.33 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Sociedad won 5, Sevilla won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad, a win for Sevilla.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.76 for Real Sociedad and 1.14 for Sevilla.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Sociedad won 5, Sevilla won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad, a win for Sevilla.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
GossipBall gives Real Sociedad a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sevilla 25%. GossipBall makes Real Sociedad favourites to beat Sevilla at home.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Real Sociedad, 1.1 for Sevilla). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Real Sociedad and Sevilla score.
Will there be three or more goals in Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.8 for Real Sociedad, 1.1 for Sevilla).
When is Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Sevilla?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Sociedad won 5, Sevilla won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad, a win for Sevilla.