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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Real Sociedad favourites to beat Santander away from home in La Liga on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC. It gives Santander a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Real Sociedad 46%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Santander and 2.1 from Real Sociedad, so goals look likely: there is a 73% chance of three or more goals and a 71% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Santander keep a clean sheet in 13% of outcomes, Real Sociedad in 18%.
Santander are 16th in the table with 11 points from 11 games; Real Sociedad are 5th with 19. In their last five league games Santander took 4 points (LDLWL) and Real Sociedad took 12 (WWWWL). This season Santander average 1.34 expected goals (xG) for and 2.24 against per game; Real Sociedad average 1.39 for and 1.68 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–2 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total: 1.71 for Santander and 2.06 for Real Sociedad.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Santander vs Real Sociedad?
GossipBall gives Santander a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Sociedad 46%. GossipBall makes Real Sociedad favourites to beat Santander away from home.
What is the predicted score for Santander vs Real Sociedad?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Santander, 2.1 for Real Sociedad). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
Will both teams score in Santander vs Real Sociedad?
GossipBall gives a 71% chance that both Santander and Real Sociedad score.
Will there be three or more goals in Santander vs Real Sociedad?
There is a 73% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total (1.7 for Santander, 2.1 for Real Sociedad).
When is Santander vs Real Sociedad?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC.