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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Valencia slight favourites to beat Osasuna at home in La Liga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Valencia a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Osasuna 30%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Valencia and 1.1 from Osasuna, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Valencia keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Osasuna in 26%.
Valencia are 19th in the table with 9 points from 12 games; Osasuna are 16th with 12. In their last five league games Valencia took 5 points (DDLWL) and Osasuna took 4 (LWLLD). This season Valencia average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.54 against per game; Osasuna average 1.40 for and 1.55 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Valencia won 5, Osasuna won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Valencia 1–0 Osasuna, a win for Valencia.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.36 for Valencia and 1.06 for Osasuna.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Valencia won 5, Osasuna won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Valencia 1–0 Osasuna, a win for Valencia.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Valencia vs Osasuna?
GossipBall gives Valencia a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Osasuna 30%. GossipBall makes Valencia slight favourites to beat Osasuna at home.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Osasuna?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Valencia, 1.1 for Osasuna). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Osasuna?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Valencia and Osasuna score.
Will there be three or more goals in Valencia vs Osasuna?
There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.4 for Valencia, 1.1 for Osasuna).
When is Valencia vs Osasuna?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Osasuna?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Valencia won 5, Osasuna won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Valencia 1–0 Osasuna, a win for Valencia.