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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Villarreal clear favourites to beat Real Sociedad at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Villarreal a 62% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Real Sociedad 19%.
GossipBall expects 2.3 goals from Villarreal and 1.2 from Real Sociedad, so goals look likely: there is a 67% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Villarreal keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Real Sociedad in 11%.
Villarreal are 8th in the table with 15 points from 12 games; Real Sociedad are 5th with 22. In their last five league games Villarreal took 7 points (LDWLW) and Real Sociedad took 12 (WWWLW). This season Villarreal average 2.00 expected goals (xG) for and 1.07 against per game; Real Sociedad average 1.41 for and 1.65 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Villarreal won 5, Real Sociedad won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad, a win for Villarreal.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 2.25 for Villarreal and 1.18 for Real Sociedad.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Villarreal won 5, Real Sociedad won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad, a win for Villarreal.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Villarreal vs Real Sociedad?
GossipBall gives Villarreal a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Sociedad 19%. GossipBall makes Villarreal clear favourites to beat Real Sociedad at home.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Real Sociedad?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.3 for Villarreal, 1.2 for Real Sociedad). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Real Sociedad?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Villarreal and Real Sociedad score.
Will there be three or more goals in Villarreal vs Real Sociedad?
There is a 67% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (2.3 for Villarreal, 1.2 for Real Sociedad).
When is Villarreal vs Real Sociedad?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Real Sociedad?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Villarreal won 5, Real Sociedad won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad, a win for Villarreal.